GECMagz

The US is in worse fiscal shape than Italy

By the standard debt-to-GDP measure, the US is in somewhat better fiscal shape than Italy: Italy's ratio is 135%; the…

6 days ago

Euroclear and the geopolitics of immobilized Russian assets

European policymakers are debating using immobilised assets of the Central Bank of Russia held at Euroclear to finance a ‘reparation…

6 days ago

Informality and the effects of minimum wage policy in developing countries

Increases in Brazil’s national minimum wage between 2000 and 2009 moved the country from a regime of low minimum wage…

6 days ago

The sentiment channel of fiscal policy

A common view is that fiscal policy operates not only through direct demand effects, but also by boosting business optimism…

6 days ago

The narrowing path: Trade and development in a new era

In recent decades, many developing countries – particularly in East Asia during the 1990s era of ‘hyper-globalisation’ – experienced unprecedented…

2 weeks ago

Wealth shocks tilt the balance toward self-insurance for long-term care

A central challenge for ageing Western societies is securing sustainable financing for long-term care (Araki et al. 2024). This is…

2 weeks ago

Brexit’s slow‑burn hit to the UK economy

The UK is once again debating why its economy has grown slowly since the mid‑2010s. Real wages have barely risen,…

2 weeks ago

The real impact of FinTech: Evidence from mobile payment technology

FinTech has transformed finance, but the broader effects of digital payments on consumers, businesses, and banks remain underexplored. This column…

2 weeks ago

Demographic change: Headwinds for economic growth

Demographic change has long been a source of concern, but the nature of that concern has shifted profoundly. In the…

2 weeks ago

Trailing with a margin: Official macro forecasts in EU fiscal surveillance

Budgetary planning in the euro area involves a codified interaction between national governments and the European Commission where economic and…

2 weeks ago