GECMagz

Covered interest parity deviations and financial market frictions: Six decades of evidence

Persistent deviations from the covered interest parity no-arbitrage condition are viewed as evidence of the new and central role of…

2 weeks ago

Not all geopolitical shocks are inflationary

Geopolitical tensions are often seen as a source of inflation. But this is only part of the story. This column…

2 weeks ago

Venture capital – a global perspective

Existing views on what venture capital finances and how its markets are structured are primarily shaped by the experience of…

2 weeks ago

Bonding through crises with nonbank financial institutions

Nonbank financial institutions are often seen as procyclical lenders, cutting credit more sharply than banks during stress, while bond markets…

2 weeks ago

Hiding in the mean: AI is adding jobs and removing them at the same time

Estimates of AI's employment effect disagree in size and even in sign. This column argues the disagreement is built into…

2 weeks ago

Training novices to think in the age of large language models

Whether teaching a cognitive skill remains valuable in this era of AI is a crucial question in education and for…

2 weeks ago

Global imbalances and the China challenge

China's trade surplus is widening, its manufactured exports are surging, and the political backlash is intensifying. This column argues that…

3 weeks ago

Navigating geoeconomic risk in the US stock market

Geoeconomic risk has become a first-order concern for investors. This column shows that domestic US stocks expose investors to substantial…

3 weeks ago

Training novices to think in the age of large language models

Whether teaching a cognitive skill remains valuable in this era of AI is a crucial question in education and for…

3 weeks ago

Beyond flows: How natural gas supply risk fuels inflation

Europe’s output losses proved limited following the 2022 cutoff of Russian gas flows, yet inflation rose sharply. This column uses…

3 weeks ago