GECMagz

Independent central banks take more risk, not less

The fiscal dominance view holds that politically captured central banks are more likely to be pushed into taking risky positions,…

3 weeks ago

From bilateralism to a system: Europe’s early trade treaties and lessons for EU trade policy in a contested world

As tensions rise between major powers and the global trading system becomes more contested, policymakers often frame the choice they…

3 weeks ago

Trade restrictions, trade policy uncertainty and FDI flows

Trade policy has become a major source of macroeconomic risk. The sharp rise in trade restrictions and the growing unpredictability…

3 weeks ago

Private capital markets and inequality

Private capital markets have expanded rapidly, but access remains concentrated among wealthy investors. This column presents new evidence from the…

3 weeks ago

Electing women does not reduce corruption: Evidence from Brazil

As women gain political ground around the world, there is hope that the election of more women might also mean…

3 weeks ago

The impact of trade wars on firms in third countries

Bilateral trade shocks may reallocate demand and competition across countries, creating spillovers for firms in bystander countries. To study how…

3 weeks ago

The design and effect of tariff retaliation: Evidence from the EU

As global trade policy becomes increasingly protectionist, the threat of tariff retaliation looms large. This column analyses how the EU’s…

3 weeks ago

Fiscal rules compliance and sovereign borrowing costs: Some evidence from the euro area

Governments with well-designed fiscal rules generally enjoy lower yields but less is known about whether investors price compliance with these…

3 weeks ago

Taking the pulse of global trade policy

How much has trade policy changed globally? This column introduces the Trade Policy Activity Index, a monthly measure of policy…

4 weeks ago

Not all reserves are born equal: Why the source matters for sovereign risk

Emerging market economies hold foreign exchange reserves to insure against currency crises and to cushion exchange rate movements. Reserves are…

4 weeks ago