GECMagz

Fool’s gold: How geopolitical risk is taking some of the shine off the US dollar

US Treasuries remain the world’s dominant reserve asset, but geopolitical risks can change how central banks assess the trade-off between…

4 weeks ago

Plus ça change. AI and the future of economic research: From Galileo back to Socrates

For centuries, economic research has been throttled by scarcity of time, labour, and access to data and methods. This column…

4 weeks ago

Tariff confusion

The year 2025 was unprecedented in the frequency, complexity, and volatility of US trade policy interventions. This column uses a…

4 weeks ago

Monetary policy’s ‘last-mile problem’ and what can be done about it

Central banks can move policy rates, but transmission depends on households acting on them. This column shows that central banks…

4 weeks ago

AI in a fragmenting world: Why ‘connector’ economies can still gain

Artificial intelligence is advancing at the same time as the global economy is becoming more fragmented. AI innovation is concentrated…

4 weeks ago

World agricultural prices and the outbreak of civil war

Falling agricultural prices have been found to generally increase armed civil conflict in producing regions, but not the risk of…

1 month ago

Multinational restructuring, friendshoring, and home country activity

Geopolitical tensions have reshaped international trade and investment flows in recent years. This column uses data on the worldwide affiliates…

1 month ago

The generative AI learning penalty in secondary school

Generative AI tools such as ChatGPT, Claude, and DeepSeek can help students solve problems, explain concepts, and polish their writing…

1 month ago

New evidence of strong but slow portfolio responses to equity premium changes

Standard portfolio theory predicts strong investor responses to changes in the equity premium, but empirical evidence has found much lower…

1 month ago

The implications of climate change for monetary policy

Climate change and the transition to net zero are reshaping the macroeconomy, with important implications for monetary policymakers’ core price-stability…

1 month ago