GECMagz

The 2025 trade war: Dynamic impacts across US states and the global economy

In 2025, the US government announced a series of tariff increases targeting major trading partners, including Canada, China, and Mexico.…

6 months ago

A world with no safe assets

Recent evolutions in US attitudes and policies have raised questions about the future of the dollar’s role in the global…

6 months ago

Climate adaptation and inequality: Lessons from Cape Town’s drought

A growing number of urban areas around the world face water scarcity. Focusing on the prolonged drought that Cape Town…

6 months ago

Fiscal sustainability and budgetary inertia: When checks and balances really matter

Public spending programmes, once established, become entrenched, making it hard for the next administration to cut them. For many, this…

6 months ago

Trump’s tariffs: Disregarding lessons from history and scenarios and probable outcomes

History is full of evidence that tariffs harm economic performance. This column assesses the two waves of globalisation in modern…

6 months ago

Sovereign bonds, convenience yields, and the resurgence of supply shocks

Many sovereign bonds trade at a premium for being safe assets that retain their value even in deep recessions. This…

6 months ago

Sanctions, trade shocks, and firms’ adjustment margins

The sanctions which followed the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine generated a large trade shock for firms trading with Russia.…

6 months ago

Artificial intelligence in finance

Artificial intelligence is rapidly reshaping the financial sector. This column introduces the seventh report in The Future of Banking series,…

6 months ago

Home charging and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles: A strategy for real-world emissions reductions

Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles can use either fossil fuels or electricity and offer potential emission reductions, depending on the driver’s…

6 months ago

Private safe asset supply and financial instability

Safe assets are financial instruments that maintain a stable value even after adverse macroeconomic shocks. This column explores how banks…

6 months ago