GECMagz

New evidence on the resilience benefit of borrower-based measures when interest rates go up

Most of the major banking crises in modern economic history have been preceded by a U-shape in monetary policy rates,…

4 weeks ago

Demystifying trade patterns in a fragmenting world

Since the rise of US–China trade tensions, there has been a growing debate on the impact of rising trade barriers…

4 weeks ago

The impact of uncertainty on corporate borrowing in the euro area

Recently, uncertainty has been elevated due to trade tariff disputes, economic policy changes, and geopolitical risks. In the last few quarters,…

4 weeks ago

The Bank of England’s capital mistake?

The financial crisis of 2008 underlined that the equity capital requirement for banks is a policy setting of fundamental importance. …

4 weeks ago

Embracing AI in Europe: New evidence from harmonised central bank business surveys

Artificial intelligence is spreading quickly among European firms. Using new surveys from Germany, Italy, and Spain, this column shows that…

4 weeks ago

Northern insights: Measuring geopolitical risk through Finnish news media

Much of what we know about geopolitical risk is filtered through a narrow informational lens of global English-language media. This…

4 weeks ago

Beneath the ban of abortion: Evidence from the USSR

Recent years have brought a renewed, coordinated push to restrict abortion, from the US to Hungary and Poland. Earlier this…

1 month ago

How to boost learning in low-income countries: Raising revenues or cutting costs?

Imagine being asked to build a school on a budget that barely buys a stack of bricks, but no cement,…

1 month ago

Building cyber resilience at national scale: Why strategy matters more than ever

In 2017, a ransomware spread across multiple countries, causing an estimated $10 billion in damage to businesses worldwide. More recently, in Costa Rica, a major incident in 2022 forced the government to declare a national state…

1 month ago

Global economic resilience masks an uneven growth outlook

First, the good news: in the face of one shock after another, the global economy has proved to be surprisingly…

1 month ago