GECMagz

Fiscal rules compliance and sovereign borrowing costs: Some evidence from the euro area

Governments with well-designed fiscal rules generally enjoy lower yields but less is known about whether investors price compliance with these…

1 month ago

Taking the pulse of global trade policy

How much has trade policy changed globally? This column introduces the Trade Policy Activity Index, a monthly measure of policy…

2 months ago

Not all reserves are born equal: Why the source matters for sovereign risk

Emerging market economies hold foreign exchange reserves to insure against currency crises and to cushion exchange rate movements. Reserves are…

2 months ago

The unequal burden of oil shocks: Labor markets and monetary policy

The war in Iran has sent oil prices sharply higher, reviving the question of who bears the cost of energy…

2 months ago

When private insurance buys faster access to public care

Supplemental private health insurance is becoming more common in universal healthcare systems as a way to secure faster access to…

2 months ago

Increasing employment in pre-retirement years slows cognitive decline

Dementia affects an estimated 6 million Americans, and is the leading cause of neurological disability and the third leading cause…

2 months ago

Why some digital payment systems replace cash and others don’t

Digital payment systems promise to extend financial services to people underserved by banks, and overcoming barriers to the adoption of…

2 months ago

One global shock, many inflation paths: Inflation persistence after the Great Moderation

The post-COVID inflation surge was global, but inflation persistence was not. This column argues that the key difference lies in…

2 months ago

US consumer savings from shale gas

Shale gas was initially hailed as a “revolution”, but the vast amounts of US natural gas production made possible by…

2 months ago

Market-implied inflation expectations during the Iran shock

Real-time assessments of inflation expectations can be valuable for assessing the inflation outlook. This column decomposes inflation swaps for the…

2 months ago