GECMagz

Quantifying the impact of the Iran war on US inflation

The outbreak of the Iran war in February 2026 has led to a major disruption to oil trade and a…

1 month ago

The effects of geopolitical supply chain shocks on policy preferences of firms

Governments around the world have tightened restrictions on trade and investment based on economic-security justifications. The COVID-19 pandemic and rising…

2 months ago

The macroeconomic consequences of undermining central bank independence: Evidence from governor transitions

In recent years, several high-profile episodes have renewed concerns about central bank independence in practice, as governments exert pressure on…

2 months ago

When public money multiplies, and when it does not: A guide to the catalytic effect of blended finance

Achieving sustainable development goals needs blended finance, where public money is used to crowd in larger private capital flows. The…

2 months ago

Geopolitical oil price shocks: Why these shocks hit harder

When geopolitical crises strike, oil prices often surge, with consequences that extend far beyond energy markets. This column shows that…

2 months ago

Why liquidity evaporates when it is most needed

A common feature of flash crash episodes in financial markets is that liquidity vanishes precisely when it is most needed.…

2 months ago

Using global shocks as a laboratory to study executive pay

It is often claimed that executives reap rewards from favourable market tailwinds they did nothing to create. This column uses…

2 months ago

When privacy protects but excludes: The hidden costs of data restrictions in digital lending

Privacy regulations empower consumers, but they can also cut off credit for the populations that digital lenders were built to…

2 months ago

How a nation was born: Lessons from four centuries of Brazilian growth

Contemporary debates about Brazil’s growth potential – whether centred on the ‘middle income trap’, the slow pace of productivity growth,…

2 months ago

“Us versus them”: How political propaganda polarises beliefs without providing any news

Political polarisation is often attributed to misinformation, echo chambers, or biased news. But new experimental evidence suggests that merely making…

2 months ago