GECMagz

The devil is in the tail: How firms’ beliefs about rare macroeconomic disasters shape investment

Little is known about how firms think about rare macroeconomic disasters and how these beliefs shape their decisions. This column…

2 months ago

Macroeconomics of tariffs with global production and finance networks

Tariffs have returned as instruments of economic and geopolitical policy. Recent VoxEU columns document how the 2025 US escalation has…

2 months ago

The impact of emissions trading systems on manufacturing installation productivity: Evidence from Japan

Emissions trading systems (ETSs) have emerged as a pivotal mechanism aimed at fostering carbon mitigation by creating a market for…

2 months ago

Foreign currency funding risk and global financial stability

The Credit Suisse crisis in 2023 demonstrated that foreign currency funding vulnerabilities remain material even in advanced, well-regulated financial systems.…

2 months ago

The dollar’s status through the lens of foreign exchange reserves

The US dollar’s share of globally allocated foreign exchange reserves has fallen from over 70% in the late 1990s to…

2 months ago

Some chickens are coming home to roost: EU fiscal policies in 2025

For years, the European fiscal landscape was characterised by a reliable, if tense, dichotomy: a frugal core led by Germany…

2 months ago

When the ruler is made of the thing it measures: Multi-model evidence on AI occupational exposure scores

To estimate how AI is reshaping work, it is now standard to ask AI itself to score how exposed each…

3 months ago

The different effects of oil and gas supply shocks on euro area inflation

The surge in energy prices since March 2026 has revived a familiar question among central bankers: how much of an…

3 months ago

Rethinking Europe in a fractured global economy: the Florence report

The dramatic events unfolding globally—from wars and geopolitical upheavals to trade disruptions—have caught Europe unprepared. The Florence 2026 Report urges…

3 months ago

China’s real estate reckoning: Lessons from Japan’s lost decade

A growing debate has emerged over whether China risks repeating elements of Japan’s post-real estate bubble stagnation of the 1990s.…

3 months ago