GECMagz

AI feedback loops and the conditions for explosive growth

If frontier AI models can be used to develop their next models, this may lead to an ‘intelligence explosion’ and…

2 months ago

The marriage squeeze: How the college gender gap is reshaping who marries whom

Today, 1.6 million more women than men are enrolled in four-year colleges and universities in the US. An emerging narrative…

2 months ago

How the rise of AI matters for fiscal policy

Predictions of the effects of AI on the economy and society tend to focus on productivity growth, job losses, and…

2 months ago

Expanding opportunities: Economics PhD placement in the 21st century

Since 2010, a growing proportion of doctoral graduates have been taking jobs outside academia. This column explores where elite early-career…

2 months ago

Safe debt financing: International spillovers and the benefits of fiscal policy coordination

Safe government bonds enjoy a discount known as the convenience yield. When a government issues more debt, it erodes this…

2 months ago

GLP-1 treatment reduces sickness absence

GLP-1 drugs have transformed the treatment of type 2 diabetes and obesity. As governments and insurers debate whether and how…

2 months ago

Uncovering the labour supply channel of monetary transmission

Economists have long viewed monetary policy as influencing labour demand, with little effect on labour supply. This column discusses four…

2 months ago

The origins of the multinational premium: Managerial talent, firm risk, and corporate taxation

Multinational firms tend to earn higher stock returns than purely domestic firms, raising questions about what drives their differential exposure…

2 months ago

Carbon risk in loan pricing: Commitment channels and real effects

Transition risks related to climate change are increasingly recognised in equity and bond markets. This column uses syndicated loan tranches…

2 months ago

How shifts in geoeconomic power are rewiring global trade

Trade growth stalled after the Global Financial Crisis, and world trade is now splitting along geopolitical lines. This poses a…

2 months ago