The impact of a US-China technological decoupling on trade, foreign direct investment, and welfare is quantified using a simple dynamic quantitative trade model that includes FDI as a channel of technology diffusion. By evaluating the impacts of restrictions on technology diffusion and export controls separately, this column suggests that the potential negative impact of a […]
Financial crises affect economic activity and may also distort global supply chains. This column estimates the network effects of crises by examining European multinational enterprises during the Great Recession in the 2000s. A larger network shock (captured using changes in risk premia across European countries) during the financial crisis led to lower growth in the […]
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