GECMagz

Big cities and globalization

Globalisation has been one of the key economic forces of the past half-century. It is credited with lifting millions of…

2 months ago

The state of competition: Why market power has risen – and why antitrust alone won’t fix it

There is intense debate over the origins and implications of rising market power and declining business dynamism across developed economies.…

2 months ago

The paradox of perfect supervision

Each financial crisis brings more financial supervision, more models and larger buffers – but still fragility persists. The paradox of…

2 months ago

A nonlinear Phillips curve helps explain the inflation overshoot

The recent high-inflation episode generated renewed interest among monetary policymakers and academics about the slope of the Phillips curve and…

2 months ago

AI and systemic risk

While artificial intelligence offers substantial benefits to society, including accelerated scientific progress, improved economic growth, better decision making and risk…

2 months ago

Crypto carry: Market segmentation and price distortions in digital asset markets

The rapid growth of cryptocurrency markets has created new challenges for financial regulators and policymakers. With total crypto capitalisation in…

2 months ago

Tariffs and technological hegemony

The Trump administration’s sweeping tariff measures are intended to increase the competitiveness of US firms – especially in high-tech sectors…

2 months ago

Macroeconomic impacts of defense spending

EU member states are facing an important multi-year period of increased defence spending. 1   To boost defence capability, NATO allies have…

2 months ago

Harnessing the wisdom of the crowds for OECD recession predictions

Macroeconomic forecasters have long struggled to accurately pinpoint the timing of future recessions. In response, an alternative approach using probabilistic…

2 months ago

Rerouted, not reduced: How withholding taxes shape global services trade

Global services trade – as the future of global trade – is expanding rapidly (Baldwin et al. 2024, Cernat 2024,…

2 months ago